Presentation Abstracts
12:00pm presentations
“Modelling New Zealand Road Deaths & Hospitalisations”
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 1
Topic: Healthy and safe people Format: Paper
Presented by:
Ernest Albuquerque, Principal Advisor, NZTA
Ernie is a Principal Advisor in the Research and Evaluation Team. Ernest has been with the Agency since 2006.
Colin Morrison, Senior Advisor, NZTA
Since joining LTSA in 2001, Colin has built relationships with key partners in road safety, strengthening a collaborative approach to data and research, producing specialist reports and leading in how analysis is applied across the Agency through investment, strategy, policy and programmes. Current work includes the development of a macro level integrated road safety intervention logic model.
Abstract:
New Zealand is developing an integrated road safety intervention logic model. This paper describes a core component of this wider strategic research: a baseline model that extrapolates New Zealand road deaths to 2025. The baseline will provide context to what the NZ Transport Agency is trying to achieve.
Several time-series models were investigated; these produced a range of forecasts of road deaths in the New Zealand context.
In the final modelling an Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and two differing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models were developed. A preferred model was identified and used to forecast.
Non-Presenting Authors:
Nigel Curran, Senior Advisor, NZ Transport Agency
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C1-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 1
Topic: Healthy and safe people Format: Paper
Presented by:
Ernest Albuquerque, Principal Advisor, NZTA
Ernie is a Principal Advisor in the Research and Evaluation Team. Ernest has been with the Agency since 2006.
Colin Morrison, Senior Advisor, NZTA
Since joining LTSA in 2001, Colin has built relationships with key partners in road safety, strengthening a collaborative approach to data and research, producing specialist reports and leading in how analysis is applied across the Agency through investment, strategy, policy and programmes. Current work includes the development of a macro level integrated road safety intervention logic model.
Abstract:
New Zealand is developing an integrated road safety intervention logic model. This paper describes a core component of this wider strategic research: a baseline model that extrapolates New Zealand road deaths to 2025. The baseline will provide context to what the NZ Transport Agency is trying to achieve.
Several time-series models were investigated; these produced a range of forecasts of road deaths in the New Zealand context.
In the final modelling an Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and two differing autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models were developed. A preferred model was identified and used to forecast.
Non-Presenting Authors:
Nigel Curran, Senior Advisor, NZ Transport Agency
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C1-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
“The determinants of used car prices in New Zealand”
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 2
Topic: Inclusive access Format: Paper
Presented by:
Bryce Hartell, Adviser, Ministry of Transport
An adviser in the economics team at the Ministry of Transport. Previously worked as an analyst at Statistics New Zealand, and as a Senior Lecturer at the Ara Institute of Canterbury (formerly known as the Christchurch Polytechnic Institute of Technology).
Abstract:
The Ministry of Transport works on a range of policies that have the potential to impact the supply, demand, and subsequently price, of both new and used vehicles. To better understand some of these market forces, we examine a large sample of used car listings and, using multiple regression analysis, identify and quantify the vehicle characteristics that influence the market price.
Non-Presenting Authors:
Danny Tsai, Senior Data Analyst, Ministry of Transport
Sina Mashinchi, Adviser, Ministry of Transport
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C2-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 2
Topic: Inclusive access Format: Paper
Presented by:
Bryce Hartell, Adviser, Ministry of Transport
An adviser in the economics team at the Ministry of Transport. Previously worked as an analyst at Statistics New Zealand, and as a Senior Lecturer at the Ara Institute of Canterbury (formerly known as the Christchurch Polytechnic Institute of Technology).
Abstract:
The Ministry of Transport works on a range of policies that have the potential to impact the supply, demand, and subsequently price, of both new and used vehicles. To better understand some of these market forces, we examine a large sample of used car listings and, using multiple regression analysis, identify and quantify the vehicle characteristics that influence the market price.
Non-Presenting Authors:
Danny Tsai, Senior Data Analyst, Ministry of Transport
Sina Mashinchi, Adviser, Ministry of Transport
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C2-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
“Long, Linear and Important: Land Transport Corridors as Biodiversity Assets”
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 4
Topic: Environmental sustainability Format: Paper
Presented by:
Carol Bannock, Environmental Specialist, NZTA
Abstract:
New Zealand's indigenous biodiversity is declining. While the land transport sector affects biodiversity and strives to manage its negative effects there are also strong opportunities for New Zealand’s land transport network to become an important national biodiversity asset. By recognising and maintaining and/or improving indigenous biodiversity values within the transport corridor we can contribute to the wellbeing and liveability of people and other species. This directly connects and supports the environmental and sustainability outcome of the Transport Outcome Framework. This presentation shall discuss why our long, linear transport corridors are so important to biodiversity, how they can be managed to support biodiversity values while contributing to the well-being of people and what we need in order to do this. It touches on challenges and overseas experiences and provides examples of how improving biodiversity can be considered in planning and designing new assets and introduced into the existing network.
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C4-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 4
Topic: Environmental sustainability Format: Paper
Presented by:
Carol Bannock, Environmental Specialist, NZTA
Abstract:
New Zealand's indigenous biodiversity is declining. While the land transport sector affects biodiversity and strives to manage its negative effects there are also strong opportunities for New Zealand’s land transport network to become an important national biodiversity asset. By recognising and maintaining and/or improving indigenous biodiversity values within the transport corridor we can contribute to the wellbeing and liveability of people and other species. This directly connects and supports the environmental and sustainability outcome of the Transport Outcome Framework. This presentation shall discuss why our long, linear transport corridors are so important to biodiversity, how they can be managed to support biodiversity values while contributing to the well-being of people and what we need in order to do this. It touches on challenges and overseas experiences and provides examples of how improving biodiversity can be considered in planning and designing new assets and introduced into the existing network.
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C4-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
“National walking and cycling trends”
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 6
Topic: Inclusive access Format: Paper
Presented by:
Claire Pascoe, Lead Advisor Urban Mobility, NZTA
Claire Pascoe is the Lead Advisor Urban Mobility at the New Zealand Transport Agency. She provides technical expertise and leadership in how to provide people with genuine options for getting around our towns and cities and make them healthier places to be
Abstract:
The NZ Transport Agency is able to tell some new stories about walking and cycling in New Zealand, with its recently built national dashboard collating data from counters all around the country. This session will present some of the insights into trends over the last few years, regional comparisons and what we can tell so far about our significant increase in investment. It will also include a summary of results from our national attitudes and perceptions survey, to identify what people have been feeling, as well as doing.
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C6-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
Time: 12:00pm Room: Chancellor 6
Topic: Inclusive access Format: Paper
Presented by:
Claire Pascoe, Lead Advisor Urban Mobility, NZTA
Claire Pascoe is the Lead Advisor Urban Mobility at the New Zealand Transport Agency. She provides technical expertise and leadership in how to provide people with genuine options for getting around our towns and cities and make them healthier places to be
Abstract:
The NZ Transport Agency is able to tell some new stories about walking and cycling in New Zealand, with its recently built national dashboard collating data from counters all around the country. This session will present some of the insights into trends over the last few years, regional comparisons and what we can tell so far about our significant increase in investment. It will also include a summary of results from our national attitudes and perceptions survey, to identify what people have been feeling, as well as doing.
Remember! You can vote for this Paper via Sli.do using this Paper’s individual code: C6-1200.
Voting closes at 4:30pm on Thursday 5th December and the winner announced during the post conference networking function.
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Transport Knowledge Conference 2019
Paardekooper and Associates Phone: + 64 4 562 8259 events@paardekooper.nz |